Emergency (IPC Phase 4) outcomes are expected in Abyei Administrative Area, where renewed conflict has resulted in recent displacement, a considerable loss of household food and income sources, and challenges to humanitarian access.Ĭereal production this year is estimated to be 45 percent higher than last year and about 13 percent above the five-year average, according to the FAO Crop and Food Supply Assessment Mission. The areas of highest concern include areas hosting large numbers of internally displaced people (IDP) areas with large conflict-affected populations in parts of Darfur, Kordofan, and Blue Nile states and areas of marginal agricultural production in the Red Sea, North Darfur, North Kordofan, and northern Kassala states. Levels of acute food insecurity are expected to deteriorate further after the lean season begins in late April, and food assistance needs are expected to peak in August and September, when household stocks are exhausted, dependence on markets for food increases, and prices rise seasonally. Low foreign currency reserves, depreciation of the local currency, and high imported and local food and non-food commodity prices are all contributing to excessively high inflation, while income-earning opportunities remain low, resulting in low household purchasing power. Persistently severe macroeconomic conditions, as well as localized intercommunal conflict, are expected to continue to drive Stressed (IPC Phase 2) and Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes in Sudan, despite above-average cereal production this year. Conflict and high food prices drive high food assistance needs in 2023
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